E.U. Parliament designates Russia as terrorist sponsor, Russia responds with terror


Someplace alongside the Black Coastline (I am guessing it is Odesa)

There’s no technique to think about Russia something however a terrorist nation. Greater than its unprovoked battle of aggression in opposition to Ukraine, its indiscriminate concentrating on of civilians is textbook terrorism. Russia doesn’t even disguise it—Russia is demanding negotiations to freeze the battle in trade for stopping its terror marketing campaign in opposition to civilian targets. 

The European Union has lastly responded.

The USA has refused to comply with alongside for classy authorized and diplomatic causes. A terror designation, below U.S. legislation, would imply anybody doing enterprise with Russia could be topic to U.S. sanctions. That would come with … Europe. Whereas commerce has been severely curtailed between Russia and Western nations, there are nonetheless items excluded from the present sanction regime. An American terror designation wouldn’t account for these exceptions, therefore Joe Biden’s warning. Europe isn’t working below such stringent authorized necessities. 

Regardless, Russia is livid. Why, how may anybody accuse it of terrorism? So, in a really Russian trend, it determined to reply with extra terror, launching 70 cruise missiles and an untold variety of suicide drones in opposition to Ukraine’s electrical and thermal grid, plunging Ukraine into darkness. 


It’s noteworthy that Ukraine didn’t point out the variety of suicide drones launched by Russia. It’s seemingly the intercept fee of these drones wasn’t as nice as that of the cruise missiles, which fashionable anti-aircraft methods are designed to interdict and destroy. It’s in that context that in the present day’s Pentagon announcement of recent help made excellent sense: “150 heavy machine weapons with thermal imagery sights to counter Unmanned Aerial Methods (UAS).” These suicide drones are sluggish and low-flying, with tiny radar profiles. Mount these machine weapons on pickup vehicles, and so they can chase after the slow-moving loitering drones. 

In the meantime, Russia thinks Ukrainians will stand up in opposition to the Ukrainian authorities due to the chilly and the darkish. However that is how Ukrainians reply:


Some Russians are daring to utter this, even in Russian state propaganda channels:


Be aware the one panelist across the 2:30 mark who says that “it’s obscene, it’s not constructive, it’s prison to bomb peaceable cities.” He notes that bombing peaceable cities has by no means led to a individuals surrendering in battle. Hiroshima and Nagasaki might need one thing to say about that, however that’s the exception that proves the rule. 

That is one other exceptional second, sadly associated to my Japanese instance above: 


Be aware the panelist laughing at the concept that Kherson and the Donbas are Russian territories: “It wasn’t our territory till we declared it as ours.” He additionally laughs off the notion that Russia is at battle with NATO. Everyone knows that if that had been true, this battle would have been over, and shortly. However this isn’t the type of pushback that Russians are used to seeing. 

As I publish this, Ukraine publicizes energy is usually restored: 


Nonetheless, every assault makes Ukraine’s grid that a lot much less resilient, seemingly held collectively by duct tape, gum, and a few MacGyver ingenuity. Russia’s rocket and missile fleet stays substantial, even when in the present day’s missile barrage price them greater than $100 million. 


Right now’s reminder of why MAGA loves Russia a lot.


It’s all of the fault of the women-folk, after all…

Russian mobilization goes so properly: 


Don’t really feel too sorry for them. They nonetheless need to combat! I’m positive they’ll get the prospect to be human velocity bumps to the Ukrainian advance. And I say that with zero relish. I’m bored with mindless demise. I’d quite they sneak again to Russia because it’s clear nobody is aware of who or the place they’re, and even cares about it. Seemingly nobody would discover in the event that they merely went residence and informed the native authorities they’d been correctly launched. 

That is the choice: 


I really do marvel if anybody really believes this concept that Russia is genuinely threatened. Nobody needs Russia and its corruption. They’ve all that vacant land mass already—develop that! In the event that they solely minded their very own enterprise, everybody may go fortunately on their merry approach.

Yesterday, I wrote concerning the Turkish TRLG-230 MLRS making an look in Ukraine, with its 150 km vary—doubling Ukraine’s attain from typical HIMARS/MLRS rockets. Now we now have video: 

That’s the excellent news. The less-good information is that ammunition provides are reportedly restricted. 


Ukraine must be even handed about the way it makes use of these rockets, and I do want that this wasn’t reported publicly. It will be higher for Russia to suppose Ukraine had tons of of rockets, additional motivating it to push its provide depots farther again. With restricted provide, Russia could merely resolve to soak up some losses with a view to profit from the logistical benefits of the present setup. 

However, these “dozens” of rockets would possibly merely be the preliminary cargo, with extra coming down the pike. 

And, in case you are questioning what the distinction is between a rocket and a missile: A missile is guided and may change trajectory throughout flight, whereas a rocket will depend on the angle of the launch tube and the quantity of propellant. Clearly, guided GMLRS rockets and these Turkish ones blur the excellence, however they nonetheless require the right launch angle and merely tweak their flight trajectory to hit the designated goal (by way of GPS for GMLRS, and laser designation for these Turkish ones). You wouldn’t launch these straight up within the air and anticipate them to hit their targets, and also you actually wouldn’t anticipate them to vary targets mid-flight.

There’s a Telegram account that consists of nothing apart from footage and movies of lifeless Russian troopers. The pictures out of Bakhmut and Pavlivka, had been Russian forces preserve sending wave after wave of infantry, had been so dangerous I lastly left that Telegram group. I’ve seen sufficient mass carnage to final a lifetime. However I additionally worry that folks suppose Mark Sumner and I are exaggerating after we discuss these mass Russian casualties. So here’s a tweet displaying a few of these pictures, not the worst by a protracted shot, however a touch of what Russia is doing to its personal individuals. I promise you, there is not any exaggeration.

The newest development is for Russians to dig random holes in the midst of fields and huddle collectively for security or heat or to extra simply share their vodka as Ukrainian drones drop grenades on prime of them. Right here’s an instance, and once more, click on at your personal discretion. It’s f’n brutal. Their lethargy may be alcohol, positive, however may very properly be hypothermia. 

On the diplomatic entrance, the Collective Safety Treaty Group—Russia’s reply to NATO—had a gathering. 


As you would possibly recall, Armenia begged for CSTO help when it was not too long ago invaded by Azerbaijan and bought solely crickets in response. With the West cozying as much as Armenia (Nancy Pelosi visited not too long ago), its days within the CSTO are seemingly restricted. 

In the meantime, Kazakhstan is just about carried out with Russia, and China has wrapped an embracing arm across the nation, actually threatening Putin to remain out of China’s inside affairs. With Turkey rising its personal aggression within the area, it appears each regional participant is occupied with rising its affect within the Center East and Central Asia at Russia’s expense. Nature, in any case, abhors a vacuum. 


No thanks. And if you wish to know why not, this thread covers it properly: 


By all indications, Russia has wiped the air over Ukraine clear of TB-2 Bayraktar drones. In truth, they might have been worn out a lot earlier within the battle than beforehand indicated, as Russia didn’t actually interact its air protection methods till weeks after the invasion started. And regardless of all its failures, the one factor that appears to be working for Russia is its air defenses. That can also be the explanation, by the way, that Russia’s Air Power is inoperable on this battle—Ukraine additionally has Russian-built air defenses. There’s a purpose Russia has shifted to killer drones as a substitute of committing its fashionable warcraft to the battlefield. 

Bear in mind, NATO’s war-fighting doctrine relies upon closely on air energy. So it’s solely pure that Russia would expend appreciable sources in countering that risk. This implies, finally, that Ukraine’s allies are higher off bolstering Ukraine’s floor forces and anti-drone capabilities than they’re investing in costly (financially and logistically) plane with restricted capability to impression the end result of the battle. 


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